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Infrastructure in Argentina New Entrants and Disruptors Analysis

New Entrants and Disruptors

Based on the provided Value Chain Analysis report on the Infrastructure Industry in Argentina, there is no explicit mention or identification of specific new entrants or disruptors (defined as new companies or business models significantly altering the existing value chain structure) within the 2024-2025 timeframe.

The report details the established structure of the value chain, identifies the traditional key players (government entities, large private construction firms like Grupo Roggio, Rovella Carranza, Sacde, Techint; energy companies like YPF, PAE; material suppliers like Loma Negra; equipment manufacturers like IMPSA; and operators like CAAP), and thoroughly analyzes the severe bottlenecks and challenges currently confronting the sector.

The most significant disruptive forces described in the provided text are not new companies, but rather the drastic changes in the macroeconomic environment and government policy. These forces have profoundly impacted the existing value chain and the operations of the established players.

The analysis highlights: * Drastic cuts in public investment: This is presented as a major disruptive force, fundamentally altering the demand side of the value chain, particularly impacting the Planning and Design, Financing and Procurement, and Construction and Execution stages. [Value Chain Analysis] * Pervasive economic instability (inflation, devaluation): These factors disrupt established commercial relationships, complicate financing, and increase operational risks for all players, regardless of whether they are new or existing. [Value Chain Analysis] * Political and policy uncertainty: Frequent shifts in government priorities and regulatory frameworks act as a disruptive element, undermining the stability required for long-term investments and potentially altering the rules of engagement for all market participants. [Value Chain Analysis]

While the report mentions potential future private investment under frameworks like RIGI, and ongoing activity in specific segments like Vaca Muerta driven by existing energy giants, these are presented as potential sources of future activity or current resilience within the existing structure, not as driven by entirely new entrants or disruptive business models. The privatization of IMPSA is noted as a change in ownership, moving an established player from state to private control, rather than the entry of a fundamentally new market force.

Therefore, based solely on the provided information, the primary "disruptors" are macroeconomic and political forces that have severely constrained and altered the operating environment for the established participants in the Argentine infrastructure value chain, rather than the emergence of new, disruptive companies.

Table of the impact of these new players

Given that the provided document does not identify specific new players or disruptive companies, a table detailing their impact cannot be created based on the available data. The significant impacts described are those of the macroeconomic and political environment on the existing value chain and its established players. The impact of these macro/political forces can be summarized as follows:

Value Chain Stage Impact of Macroeconomic/Political Disruptions (Based on Provided Text)
Planning and Design Reduced activity as pipeline of new public projects dries up due to investment cuts. [Value Chain Analysis]
Financing & Procurement Severe constraints in accessing affordable long-term finance; disruption of procurement processes due to project suspensions; uncertainty hindering financial structuring. [Value Chain Analysis]
Material & Equip. Supply Plummeting orders from construction companies due to project halts; increased costs for imported items due to devaluation; strained payment terms. [Value Chain Analysis]
Construction & Execution Widespread project suspensions/cancellations; significant job losses and firm closures; intense competition for scarce work; operational difficulties due to payment delays. [Value Chain Analysis]
Operation & Maintenance Potential impact on long-term concession viability due to policy uncertainty and economic instability affecting revenue streams or investment requirements. [Value Chain Analysis]
Support Activities Reduced demand for related professional and technical services due to the overall downturn in industry activity. [Value Chain Analysis]

References

  • Construmis - Desafíos para el 2025 en el sector de la construcción: 120 mil empleos perdidos y una lenta recuperación en marcha. (https://www.construmis.com.ar/desafios-para-el-2025-en-el-sector-de-la-construccion-120-mil-empleos-perdidos-y-una-lenta-recuperacion-en-marcha/)
  • BNamericas - Los proyectos de infraestructura detenidos en Argentina. (https://www.bnamericas.com/es/noticias/proyectos/los-proyectos-de-infraestructura-detenidos-en-argentina)
  • El Economista - Rocca elogió los progresos de Milei, pero advirtió: "Hoy Argentina tiene entre 10 y 20 veces la conflictividad de otros países". (https://eleconomista.com.ar/2024-09-paolo-rocca-logro-progresos-milei-advirtio-argentina-tiene-10-20-veces-conflictividad-otros-paises/)
  • BBVA Research - Argentina: financiando la brecha de infraestructura. (https://www.bbvaresearch.com/publicaciones/argentina-financiando-la-brecha-de-infraestructura/)
  • Fundación de Investigaciones Económicas Latinoamericanas - ARGENTINA: INFRAESTRUCTURA, CICLO Y CRECIMIENTO. (https://www.fiel.org.ar/publicaciones/informe-de-infraestructura-fiel-argentina-junio-2023)
  • Política Argentina - Los detalles de la primera privatización de Milei: IMPSA pasó a manos privadas con una única oferta. (https://www.politicaargentina.com/notas/202405/56156-los-detalles-de-la-primera-privatizacion-de-milei-impsa-paso-a-manos-privadas-con-una-unica-oferta.html)
  • Value Chain Analysis of the Infrastructure in Argentina.
  • Infrastructure in Argentina Strategic Priorities and Investments Analysis.
  • Infrastructure in Argentina Global vs Local Outlook Analysis.